<subject "Some Not-So-Talked About Problems that need Solving">
<nedstat "AC8NkQ5bg4nnMJwb12Z3N7FRXwiQ">

<sdf notypo>

At space elevator conferences and in email discussions, I have come across
a number of technical issues that haven't really been addressed yet, and
that could be real bummers. I have decided to collect these problems here
so that more people notice them and think of ways of solving them. I by no
means think these problems are unsolvable, so don't quote me as saying
that! If you have any solutions (or other problems), send them in, please.
I'll be a complete tyrant about deciding when I like or dislike a solution
or problem, though.

P1: Energy released when a fiber snaps.

After the talk Michael Laine gave at MIT in spring 2003, somebody emailed
me about nanotubes, and mentioned that just before a nanotube snaps, the
elastic energy density is comparable to the energy density for TNT. This
lead me to wonder about what happens if tether threads break and get very
hot.

P2: Problem

A carbon nanotube that is stretched to 65 GPa has a very high
energy density. I have estimated that if that energy is all converted into
heat, the carbon nanotube would heat up on the order of 1000K to 4000K
(depending on assumptions on the Young's modulus and the heat capacity of
the material). 

If a thread of the space elevator ribbon breaks and a significant amount of
the energy it contains is released as heat, the resulting temperature rise
could be sufficient to damage the adhesives that are supposed to be holding
the thread to do load redistribution, and possibly damage the interconnect.
The broken thread could also zip past many interconnects before the inertia
of the free end of the thread prevents the energy to be released too
violently (the heat radiates away very fast). This would leave lots of long
threads sticking out of the elevator ribbon, ready to get tangled on
advancing climbers. Given current estimates, it would seem that there would
be many breaks per square meter of ribbon per year, so there would be a lot
of these threads around. 

The elastic energy that gets converted into kinetic energy could also have
a negative impact on the interconnects, possibly damaging them or allowing
the thread to zip through.

P2: Solutions

* I think Nicole West at ISR is doing some modeling on this type of thing.
  This will allow us to know if there really is a problem. I'll be much
  more convinced by a demonstration, though. This is really hard stuff to
  model!

P1: Thermal cycling when ribbon twists.

I don't remember who first pointed this one out to me at the third space
elevator conference.

P2: Problem

In space, the temperature of the ribbon is governed by radiative heat 
transport. When the ribbon is facing the sun, it equilibrates to a
temperature around 300K. When it is perpendicular to the sun, it
equilibrates to a temperature around 100K (I haven't checked these numbers
myself, but they are in the right ball park). Because it is so thin, the
ribbon's temperature will equilibrate within a few seconds only. Therefore,
if the ribbon is twisting around randomly, it will be repeatedly be
cycling from hot to cold to hot. This temperature cycling could cause some
severe fatigue issues as it is repeated year after year after year. In
fact, just the large range of temperatures could be a problem; polymers
tend to have mechanical characteristics that vary significantly with
temperature. Certainly a challenge for the materials folks. The thermal
expansion caused by the temperature change could also induce oscillations
in the ribbon, but I think that is a lesser concern.

P2: Solutions

* Reducing the surface to volume ratio would slow the temperature changes.
  This could be done by having fewer but thicker threads in the elevator.

P1: One broken elevator could kill all deployed elevators.

This problem came up in a discussion between Bob Munck and Monte Davis
after the third space elevator conference, when Monte asked what would
happen once there were hundreds of space elevators and one of them broke.
Bob replied "fratricide". When I heard about it, I pointed out that this
problem is already present when there are two elevators.

P2: Problem

If a space elevator breaks, a number of very long pieces of ribbon result.
Ones attached to the Earth will fall down (pretty harmlessly for the people
on the Earth); the others will orbit the Earth going West (unless I am
mixed up). These ribbons will probably have a bit of motion out of the
equatorial plane (at least tens of km in amplitude), and the total length
of broken ribbon is very long, so there is a very good chance that they
will strike other elevators that are around (and that are very large
targets). The collision itself will usually be at relatively small
velocities, so it shouldn't be a problem. On the other hand, after
colliding, the ribbons may rub against each other, get caught on each other
resulting in ribbon damage, or increase each other's tension. It seems to
me that this could severely damage or even break the elevator that is still
standing.

Having multiple elevators was supposed to be insurance; it may turn out to 
be more like putting all your explosives in the same box.

P2: Solutions

* Undeployed elevators aren't vulnerable, it would be good to keep some
  in orbit and ready to deploy.

* I have been doing some {{[jump="../breaks/index.html"]simulations}} to
better understand what happens when an elevator breaks.

* A lengthly discussion has ensued on the
{{[jump="http://liftport.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=30"]Liftport forum}}.

</sdf>


